- Drawing trend lines is an art form that can take awhile to master. That's because everyone has their own unique way of drawing them! There is no perfect way to draw them and it seems that no one can agree on the best way!
- The purpose of drawing trend lines is to identify where possible reversals will take place. They can also signal that a change in trend may occur.
- In a uptrend, draw the line along the lowest points in the trend without letting the line cross through prices. You need at least two touches of the trend line.
Tuesday, January 1, 2013
Wednesday, December 12, 2012
Foreign Exchange Market
The two currencies that make up an exchange rate, When one is bought, the other is sold, and vice versa.
Base Currency
The first currency in the pair. Also the currency your account is denominated in.
Counter Currency
The second currency in the pair. Also known as the terms currency.
The Foreign Market is a large, growing and liquid financial market that operates 24 hours a day. It is not a market in the traditional sense because there is no central trading location or exchange. Most of the trading is conducted by telephone or through electronic trading networks. The primary market for currencies is the Interbank Market where banks,insurance companies, large corporations and other large financial institutions manage the risks associated with fluctuations in currency rates.
Exchange Rate
The value of one currency expressed in terms of another. For example, if EUR/USD is 1.3040(today), 1 Euro is worth US$1.3040
Currency PairExchange Rate
The value of one currency expressed in terms of another. For example, if EUR/USD is 1.3040(today), 1 Euro is worth US$1.3040
The two currencies that make up an exchange rate, When one is bought, the other is sold, and vice versa.
Base Currency
The first currency in the pair. Also the currency your account is denominated in.
Counter Currency
The second currency in the pair. Also known as the terms currency.
Sunday, December 9, 2012
Three Candlestick Patterns
Three
candlestick patterns are some of the most respected patterns in all of
technical analysis. When patterns made up of three important candlesticks
appear (a rare event compared to single-candlestick patterns) you should be
ready to play an upcoming trend, breakout, or reversal in the current currency
prices.
We’ll
kick off this section with one of the best three candlestick patterns to trade.
Morning Star, Evening Star
The
morning and evening star patterns are the most bearish and bullish patterns
known to candlestick traders. When they form, the movement can be large, quick,
and continue for a very long time thanks to strong momentum.
Morning
Star
The
morning star is a bullish pattern that is formed by three candlesticks, two of
which must be bearish and bullish. The first candlestick should be bearish, the
second can be up or down, but most importantly, it must be small to indicate
indecision. (When a doji is the second candlestick, the morning star is called
a morning doji star.) The third candlestick should have a long bullish body.
Evening
Star
Three Soldiers
It
should be fairly obvious that the three soldiers is a bullish pattern.
Sometimes, a series of three white soldiers will advance directly into
resistance, at which point you might find the above evening star pattern. From
there, you can play the reversal against the three soldiers for profits on a
dip.
Three Crows
The
three black crows candlestick pattern is bearish. It shows strength and
momentum in pushing the price down, and future drops are likely. You’re most
likely to spot three black crows after a strong reversal pattern like the
morning star pattern, or after a break of a strong support line.
You
have completed this chapter on candlestick analysis. Now that you have explored
trend lines, basic chart patterns, and Japanese candlesticks, the next stop is
technical indicators. Take a breather to think about what we just covered, and
get ready for the next chapter in our comprehensive forex tutorial.
Double Candlestick Patterns
In making use of
candlestick charts, traders should familiarize themselves with double
candlestick patterns for better analysis. Here are a few you should know:
Engulfing Candlesticks
The bullish and bearish
engulfing candlesticks are made up of two opposite moving candlesticks. In a
bullish engulfing pattern, the first candlestick is a smaller bearish
candlestick followed by a much larger second bullish candlestick.
The second
candlestick body needs to be larger than the first candlestick body to “engulf”
the first candlestick.
In a bearish
engulfing candlestick pattern, the first candlestick should be a bullish
candlestick, while the second should be a bearish candlestick. The second
candlestick should have a body large enough that it engulfs the whole body of
the first candlestick.
Note that each is a
reversal pattern. When they appear, expect the market to rise or fall quickly
after the candlestick is confirmed.
Tweezer Tops and Bottoms
A tweezer candlestick
pattern is made up of two opposite bullish and bearish candlesticks. In a
bearish tweezer top formation, the bullish candlestick is matched with a
bearish candlestick equal in size. The opposite is true for tweezer bottoms.
The two wicks on the
candlesticks should be equal in length, or very close to equal. This helps us
confirm a top and bottom, because the two candlesticks that are part of the pattern
indicate a touch to support or resistance, and then a reversal in the trend.
Double Doji
A double doji pattern
is made up of two simple doji. Whereas a single doji indicates indecision, two
doji indicate increasing volatility. When volatility increases and a currency
pair picks a direction, get on and hold on! The double doji is known for
putting some power behind breakouts and common chart patterns like the pennant
formation.
Now that you have
learned about all the double candlestick chart patterns, it’s time to move onto
the triple candlestick patterns. The triple candlestick patterns are what
you’ve been waiting for—the most powerful patterns for making big profits with
forex!
Single Candlestick Analysis
Single
candlesticks are the easiest candlesticks to analyze because we have to look
for only one candlestick in a chart.
Below,
we’ll name the several different types of single candlestick indicators, and
how you can analyze them for trading success.
Be
sure to bookmark this page (and the following candlestick analysis pages) for
easy reference. Knowledge is power when it comes to analyzing the foreign
exchange markets!
Spinning
Tops
A
spinning top is a neutral indicator, however, it may mark a point of strong
support or resistance as the open and closing price for a particular timeframe
are very close.
Doji
There
are four types of doji candlesticks: doji, dragonfly doji, gravestone doji, and
long-legged doji.
The
basic doji appears when the opening and closing price for a given timeframe are
the same. The price moved up and down during the period, but the currency pair
failed to keep any of its gains or losses at market close. A doji marks
indecision in the market.
A
dragonfly doji is shaped like a dragonfly with a longer bottom shadow, and an
equal open and closing price. The dragonfly doji shows that a reversal may soon
come in a currency pair’s trend, especially after large up or down trends.
Gravestone
doji appear when after the currency pair advances during a trading period, but
closes at a price equal to the open price. This is a bearish indicator, as the
price rose before finding strong resistance. The strength of the bearish
indication is affected by the upper shadow—the longer the shadow, the more
bearish the signal.
Long
legged doji are formed when the currency pair moves wildly during a trading
period, but closes at the same price as it opened. This doji marks indecision
in the market, and may indicate a reversal which can be confirmed with other
indicators.
Hammers
There
are two different hammers: a normal hammer candlestick, and an inverted hammer.
The
inverted hammer is the opposite of a normal hammer candlestick pattern. The
inverted hammer forms when the price moves up or down from the open price, and
leaves a long shadow above the body. The inverted hammer marks a bottom
reversal, and a developing bullish trend.
Single
candlesticks
It
is important to remember the single candlesticks because they also appear in
later double and triple candlestick patterns. Take some time to study the
single candlesticks, and see if you can spot them in a chart.
Now
that you have the basic candlesticks out of the way, let’s proceed to the
double candlestick patterns. Pay special attention here, as you’ll see single
candlesticks that appear in a double candlestick pattern.
Making Use of Candlesticks in Forex Trading
In our
primer on candlestick charts we showed you how to see long-term candlestick
charts for what they are. However, to use candlestick analysis techniques in
the currency markets, you need to know how to hone in on parts of a candlestick
that are easily ignored.
Candlestick Bodies
The
candlestick has two major dimensions. First, a candlestick is made up of a
body, which can be positive or negative in its movement. This diagram should
help explain the body of a candlestick:
We can
describe a candlestick as being either long or short. A long candlestick is one
in which the body is longer than most other candlesticks within the immediate
view. You’ll know it when you see a long candlestick, as it will stick out like
a sore thumb on a forex chart.
Short
candlesticks appear frequently on forex charts as well. Short candlesticks have
a small real body, which shows us the size of the price movement during the
time period that the candlestick represents. When small candlesticks appear,
you know that the forex pair was either inactive, or it appeared at a price at
which bullish and bearish traders are equally interested in the market. When
there is a lot of buying and selling pressure at a certain time and price, the
real body of a candlestick is smaller.
You can
think of this as bulls and bears “squeezing” the price into a small
candlestick. The pressure is equalized.
Candlestick Wicks
You
should also begin to focus on the “wicks” of a candlestick. The wick shows us
how high or how low the price moved during the time-period the candlestick
represents. This is made more clear with the following diagram:
As you
can see, the candlestick circled on the chart has very long wicks. In reading
this chart, we know that the price moved down and up before closing up.
The
wicks are also known as “shadows.” The word shadow means that the price moved
up or down, but did not hold. Think of it like a ghost. The price was there,
but now it isn’t. Even still, we can see where the price moved.
Wicks
or shadows can be short or long. In terms of being short or long, the size is
relative to the real body of the candlestick, and also to other candlesticks.
Look at the candlestick diagram below:
From
this diagram, we see that the real body of the first candlestick is small and
the wicks are large, since the wicks are larger than the real body. The second
candlestick, however, is made up of a large body relative to the wicks, and
thus the body is large and the wicks are small.
Got it?
Great! Let’s move on to candlestick patterns made up of a single candlestick.
Using
Candlestick Analysis
Candlestick
pattern trading has been around for centuries. Candlesticks were first adopted
by Japanese rice traders to find future movements in the price of rice futures.
Today,
candlesticks are still used. The candlestick chart is one of the best available
to traders as it showcases more information than any other chart. In the 1990s,
during the early days of online trading, candlesticks became popular again,
with a man named Steve Nison publishing methods for candlestick analysis.
Now
we’re going to show you how to make the most of candlestick analysis. By
following through the next chapter, you’ll learn how to adopt candlestick
trading into your trading arsenal to generate buy and sell points, and make
high accuracy trading decisions.
Ready
to get started? Of course you are! Proceed to the first article on the makeup
of candlesticks.
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